Designing a counterfactual for a multi-year programme
A step-by-step on how we model what would have happened without the intervention — and how we communicate uncertainty without burying the decision-maker.
Read the briefInsights · Methodology · Briefs
Methodology notes, public briefs, and short articles on evidence-based decision-making, inclusive research, and applied AI.
A step-by-step on how we model what would have happened without the intervention — and how we communicate uncertainty without burying the decision-maker.
Read the briefWhat field teams learn about translation, back-translation, and cultural adaptation in multi-lingual Canadian survey work.
Read articleWhere AI actually changes a decision — and where it just produces longer reports. A short typology for executives scoping their first project.
Read briefA short polemic on the CYA failure-mode of government evaluation — and what to demand from your evaluation partner instead.
Read opinionSix rungs from question to recommendation. How to structure a brief so it stands up to FOIP disclosure, Cabinet read, and peer review.
Read guideHow catchment modelling and StatsCan ADA overlays surface the inequities that conventional reporting misses entirely.
Read methodWe translate findings into clear, decision-ready insights.
One short brief per month. New methodology notes when we publish them. No marketing email.